šØ Donāt Miss the Shift: Navitas & ON Semiconductor Chase NVIDIAās 800-V AI Wave, Palantir Hits Billion-Dollar Breakthrough
Welcome, AI & Semiconductor Investors,
Are semiconductors ready for the AI power surge? Navitas is ditching phone chargers to power NVIDIAās next-gen data centers, aiming squarely at a $2.6 billion AI power market by 2030. Meanwhile, ON Semiconductor quietly doubled its data-center revenue with NVIDIAās backing, targeting explosive growth in 800-volt AI infrastructures. With Palantir blasting past its first billion-dollar quarter, itās clear that the AI landscape isnāt just heating up. ā Letās Chip In
What The Chip Happened?
ā”ļøāÆBetting on 800āVolt Brains ā Navitas Pivots From Phone Chargers to AI Powerhouses
š Powering Through the Dip: ON Targets AI, EV & Cash Returns
š āPalantir Tops $1āÆBillion QuarterāU.S. Commercial Revenue Rockets 93āÆ%āÆYoYā
[Navitas Sharpens Focus on AI Data Centers After Mixed Q2]
Read time: 7 minutes
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Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: NVTS)
ā”ļøāÆāBetting on 800āVolt Brainsā ā Navitas Pivots From Phone Chargers to AI Powerhouses
What The Chip:Ā On AugustāÆ4āÆ2025, Navitas reported Q2 results and revealed a decisive shift: the GaN/SiliconāCarbide specialist will slash lowerāmargin mobile charger exposure and chase the 800āV AI dataācenter boomāwith NVIDIA already on board.
The Situation Explained:
š° RevenueāÆ$14.5āÆmillion (midāguidance) amid a classic semi downturn; solar, EV and industrial demand remain soft.
š¦ Raised $97āÆmillion (ATM offering) and ended the quarter with $161āÆmillion cash and zero debt, funding the pivot without stretching the balance sheet.
š¤ NVIDIA selected Navitas to coāengineer power solutions for nextāgen 800āV data centers, a market Navitas sizes at $2.6āÆbillion by 2030. CEOāÆGeneāÆSheridan put it plainly: āWeāre at the right time, in the right place, with the right technology to solve the dataācenterās looming multiāgigawatt power problem.ā
š New Powerchip 8āinch GaN foundry boosts die-perāwafer by ā80āÆ% versus current 6āinch lines at TSMCālower cost, higher capacity, and a clear path to >50āÆ% gross margin (Q2 GM: 38.5āÆ%).
š Rolling out midāvoltage 80ā200āÆV GaN and ultraāhighāvoltage (2.3ā6.5āÆkV) SiC to cover all three AIāpower stages:
Solidāstate transformers (grid āāÆ800āÆV)
800āÆV āāÆ48āÆV board converters
48āÆV āāÆGPU core converters
āļø Exiting subā65āÆW China charger SKUs; guidance for Q3 revenue $10āÆmillion (±āÆ$0.5āÆM) [much lower than the market expected due to the shift out of lower margin products, while holding opex to $15.5āÆmillionāa conscious nearāterm dip to protect margins.
šŗšø U.S.ābased SiC wafer capacity shields key AI and infrastructure customers from tariff risk that is currently denting China SiC sales.
Why AI/Semiconductor Investors Should Care:Ā AI server power demand could leap 10Ć to 70āÆGW by 2030; moving from todayās 48āÆV racks to 800āÆV architectures slashes distribution losses and unlocks megawattāclass racks. Navitas is one of very few vendors offering a full GaNāÆ+āÆSiC stackāand its small size means focus, speed, and potentially outsized upside if early NVIDIA traction turns into multiāstage design wins. Nearāterm revenue will wobble, but the cashārich balance sheet, U.S. fab advantage, and expanding TAM position Navitas as a leveraged play on the power side of the AI explosion.
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ONāÆSemiconductorāÆ(NASDAQ:āÆON)
š Powering Through the Dip: ON Targets AI, EV & Cash Returns
What The Chip:Ā ONāÆSemiconductor beat Q2ā25 guidance on AugustāÆ4, 2025, posting $1.47āÆbillion in revenue and $0.53 nonāGAAP EPS while steering investors toward a recovery story built on siliconācarbide EV wins, AIādataācenter power stages, and aggressive share buybacks.
The Situation Explained:
š EV resilience in China. Automotive sales fell 4āÆ%āÆq/q, yet China EV revenue jumped 23āÆ% sequentially as Xiaomiās SU7 SUV adopted ONās 1,200āÆV EliteSiC M3e devices for longer range. CEO HassaneāÆElāKhoury said, āChina remains a growth driver with strong traction in both BEV and PHEV platforms.ā
ā”ļø Nextāgen power for AI racks. Dataācenter revenue nearly doubled YoY; ON is sampling a dual SmartāPowerāStage (SPS) in a 5āÆĆāÆ5āÆmm package and coādeveloping 800āV DC architectures with NVIDIA to slash conversion losses.
š Utilization is still pinched. Gross margin held at 37.6āÆ%, but 900āÆbp of underāutilization charges linger as fabs run ~68āÆ% loaded. Every 1āÆ% uptick could add 25ā30āÆbp to margin.
šø Cash to shareholders. ON repurchased $300āÆmillion in Q2, pushing YTD buybacks to 107āÆ% of free cash flow and pledging to keep 2025 repurchases at 100āÆ% FCF.
š FabāRight & exits. Management will retire legacy, lowāmargin products equal to ā5āÆ% of 2025 revenue, close more nonācore lines, and transfer output into higherāmargin internal fabs.
š¼ļø ISG pivots to machine vision. The imageāsensor business is abandoning lowāvalue āhuman visionā cameras (e.g., backāup cams) to focus on ADAS and industrial machine vision, trimming $50ā100āÆmillion of 2026 revenue but lifting mix.
š ļø Treo platform gains steam. Design funnel doubled q/q and shipments topped 5āÆmillion units from the newly acquired East Fishkill fab, proving ON can scale analog āSoCālikeā power platforms quickly.
š§ Cautious Q3 guide. Revenue outlook $1.465ā1.565āÆbillion (+0ā6āÆ%āÆq/q) and EPS $0.54ā0.64 assume no tariff pullāins; Auto, Industrial and Other all expected to tick up lowā to midāsingle digits.
Why AI/Semiconductor Investors Should Care: ONāÆSemiconductor is quietly repositioning itself from a cyclical analog supplier into a pureāplay on two structural growth trendsāvehicle electrification and AI power delivery. While nearāterm margins remain hostage to fab loading and a soft U.S./EU auto market, the companyās SiC design wins, AI SPS roadmap, and FabāRight savings offer a clear path back to its 53āÆ% grossāmargin target. Add an unwavering commitment to return every freeācashāflow dollar to shareholders, and ON offers both an efficiency turnaround and an upside call on the hottest endāmarkets in semis.
Palantir Technologies (NYSE:āÆPLTR)
š āPalantir Tops $1āÆBillion QuarterāU.S. Commercial Revenue Rockets 93āÆ%āÆYoYā
What The Chip:Ā Palantir reported its first $1.004āÆbillion revenue quarter on AugustāÆ4,āÆ2025, blasting past guidance with 48āÆ% yearāoverāyear growth and an industryāleading Ruleāofā40 score of 94. Management raised fullāyear guidance and showcased blockbuster U.S. commercial momentum, arguing that āLLMs simply donāt work in the real world without Palantir.ā āāÆRyanāÆTaylor, CRO.
The Situation Explained:
š¢ Revenue engine firing: U.S. commercial sales soared 93āÆ%āÆYoY (20āÆ% QoQ) to $306āÆM, while U.S. government climbed 53āÆ%āÆYoY to $426āÆM; America now accounts for 73āÆ% of total revenue.
š° Bigāticket wins: Record $2.3āÆB totalācontract value and $684āÆM ACV booked; a 10āyear U.S. Army framework worth up to $10āÆB consolidates 75 contracts, and SpaceāÆForce added $218āÆM.
š Margin muscle: Adjusted operating margin expanded to 46āÆ%, freeācashāflow margin hit 57āÆ% ($569āÆM), fueling a robust balance sheet with $6āÆB in cash & U.S. Treasuries.
𦾠Customer proofāpoints:
ā¢āÆCitibank cut KYC onboarding from 9āÆdays to seconds.
ā¢āÆFannieāÆMae slashed mortgageāfraud detection from 2āÆmonths to seconds.
ā¢āÆNebraskaāÆMedicine boosted dischargeālounge use 2,100āÆ%, coining a āPalantir unit of time.ā
āļø Product moat: Management doubled down on its ontologyādriven AIP stack, clients like Lear and TeleTracking are āreāplatformingā onto Palantir to reach production 10Ć faster, according to CTOāÆShyamāÆSankar.
š Guidance lifted: FYā2025 revenue midpoint raised to $4.146āÆB (ā45āÆ% YoY); U.S. commercial revenue now expected to exceed $1.302āÆB (ā„85āÆ% YoY).
ā ļø Watchāouts: International commercial revenue slipped 3āÆ% YoY; seasonally heavy Q3 hiring will lift expenses, and stockābased comp remains sizable at $160āÆM this quarter.
Why AI/Ā Semiconductor Investors Should Care:Ā Palantirās ability to pair foundational AI software (ontology + LLM orchestration) with missionācritical government and blueāchip commercial contracts is translating into hyperāgrowth without sacrificing profitability, a rare feat in enterprise AI.
The Armyās potential $10āÆB deal validates Palantir as an embedded infrastructure play, while cashāflow strength gives optionality for buybacks or acquisitions. Risks, including international softness and comp expense, are worth monitoring. However, the companyās outsized U.S. momentum and sticky, high-margin platform suggest this is a clear winner in the AI race. Analysts still believe valuations are questionable, though.
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[Paid Subscribers] Navitas Sharpens Focus on AI Data Centers After Mixed Q2
Date of Event: āÆAugustāÆ4,āÆ2025
Executive Summary
*Reminder: We do not talk about valuations, just an analysis of the earnings/conferences
Navitas SemiconductorāÆCorporation (Nasdaq:āÆNVTS), a pureāplay provider of gallium nitride (GaN) power integrated circuits and silicon carbide (SiC) devices, reported secondāquarter 2025 revenue of $14.5āÆmillion, down 29āÆpercent yearāoverāyear but flat sequentially. NonāGAAP operating loss narrowed to $10.6āÆmillion from $13.3āÆmillion a year earlier, while gross margin held at 38.5āÆpercent. Chief Executive Officer GeneāÆSheridan framed the quarter as a āstrategic inflection,ā citing an intensified push into artificialāintelligence (AI) dataācenter and energyāinfrastructure markets in partnership with ecosystem leaders such as NVIDIA. To fund that pivot, Navitas raised $97āÆmillion of net equity proceeds, boosting cash and equivalents to $161āÆmillion.
āWe were successful in creating an allānew market for GaN mobile chargers over the past five years, and now we intend to create an even bigger new market encompassing both GaN and SiC for AI data centers,ā Sheridan told investors.
Growth Opportunities
AI dataācenter power architecture. NVIDIA selected Navitas for collaborative development of nextāgeneration 800āvolt serverārack infrastructure. Management sizes the total addressable market (TAM) for GaN and SiC content in AI data centers at $2.6āÆbillion by 2030, driven by a projected 10Ć increase in processor power demand between 2023 and 2030. Navitas will target three conversion stages: